Combat Edge Intelligence

John Allan vs Marcin Prachnio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Allan
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John Allan

“The Hunter”

18-9-0Light Heavyweight

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record17-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamTatsujin Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AllanNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
43%
Strike accuracy
54%
5.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.40
Takedown avg.
0.15
71%
Takedown accuracy
20%
50%
Takedown defense
54%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John AllanMarcin Prachnio
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (72%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
4 (22%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Allan and Marcin Prachnio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1611), separated by just 2 points.

John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.