Combat Edge Intelligence

John Allan vs Michael Patt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Allan
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John Allan

“The Hunter”

18-9-0Light Heavyweight

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record12-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamMeat Truck Inc.

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AllanNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Michael PattNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
1.65
43%
Strike accuracy
29%
5.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.53
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.40
Takedown avg.
0
71%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John AllanMichael Patt
155016001650200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

13 (72%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (22%)
Submission
9 (75%)
1 (6%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Patt60%
John Allan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Patt a 60% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Patt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Michael Patt 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.