John Allan vs Mike Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach82,5"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
John Allan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mike Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
If they win+17→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John AllanMike Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Allan57%
Mike Rodriguez 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes John Allan a 57% favorite over Mike Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
John Allan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1590, a 19-point edge.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rodriguez 100%.
Mike Rodriguez carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.