John Allan vs Mirza Hopovac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach-
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam613 Fight Factory· 1599 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John AllanMirza Hopovac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mirza Hopovac54%
John Allan 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mirza Hopovac a 54% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Allan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1606), separated by just 3 points.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mirza Hopovac enters on a 4-fight win streak.
John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mirza Hopovac 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.