John Castañeda vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-8-1Record15-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The AcademyTeamMarathon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-12→ 1684
If they win+16→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John CastañedaMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda51%
Miles Johns 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 51% favorite over Miles Johns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miles Johns's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1702), separated by just 6 points.
Miles Johns enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Castañeda finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 40%.
John Castañeda and Miles Johns share 1 common opponent: Daniel Marcos.
John Castañeda carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.