John Castañeda vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-9-1Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The AcademyTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1673
If they win+15→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John CastañedaMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda56%
Miles Johns 44%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 56% favorite over Miles Johns in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miles Johns's way (47%).
Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1684, a 23-point edge.
John Castañeda finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
John Castañeda and Miles Johns share 1 common opponent: Daniel Marcos.
John Castañeda carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.