Combat Edge Intelligence

John Castañeda vs Murad Ramazanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-8-1Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight170 lbs
The AcademyTeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John CastañedaNow 1697
If they win+12→ 1709
If they lose-12→ 1685
Murad RamazanovNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John CastañedaMurad Ramazanov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
6 (29%)
Submission
4 (31%)
7 (33%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Murad Ramazanov53%
John Castañeda 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Murad Ramazanov a 53% favorite over John Castañeda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Castañeda's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1690), separated by just 7 points.

John Castañeda finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Murad Ramazanov 62%.

Murad Ramazanov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.