John Castañeda vs Stephen Loman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-1Record17-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71"Reach67.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John CastañedaStephen Loman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda67%
Stephen Loman 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 67% favorite over Stephen Loman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Stephen Loman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Castañeda finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Loman 47%.
John Castañeda carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.