Combat Edge Intelligence

John Clarke vs Julien Leblanc

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Clarke
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John Clarke

“Red Velvet”

8-2-0MiddleweightCFX

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
73,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Wai Kru MMATeamPatenaude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John ClarkeNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Julien LeblancNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
0
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
15%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.43
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John ClarkeJulien Leblanc
1600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (50%)
Submission
4 (40%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Julien Leblanc66%
John Clarke 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julien Leblanc a 66% favorite over John Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.

John Clarke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

John Clarke finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Julien Leblanc 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.