John Cofer vs Justin Lawrence
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record11-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamPower MMA
What's at stake
Justin Lawrence is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — John Cofer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1582
If they lose-14→ 1550
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-18→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John CoferJustin Lawrence
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Lawrence66%
John Cofer 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Lawrence a 66% favorite over John Cofer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Justin Lawrence holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1564, a 40-point edge.
John Cofer finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Justin Lawrence 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.