Combat Edge Intelligence

John Cofer vs Mike Rio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Cofer
us

John Cofer

“The Potter”

8-4-0FeatherweightXFC

1564Solid
Mike Rio
us

Mike Rio

“The Wolverine”

10-5-0LightweightFTP

1569Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record10-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Hardcore GymTeamZen Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John CoferNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Mike RioNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
42%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
62%
Strike defense
53%
1.22
Takedown avg.
2.58
50%
Takedown accuracy
28%
64%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

John CoferMike Rio
1550160016502011201220132014

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (38%)
Submission
5 (50%)
4 (50%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Cofer and Mike Rio within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1569), separated by just 5 points.

John Cofer finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rio 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.