Combat Edge Intelligence

John Devine vs Matt Adams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Adams
us

Matt Adams

“Bad”

6-3-0HeavyweightOCL

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record6-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
TBDReach75"
247 lbsWeight263 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John DevineNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Matt AdamsNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John DevineMatt Adams
1500155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Adams53%
John Devine 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Adams a 53% favorite over John Devine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1560), separated by just 7 points.

John Devine finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matt Adams 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.