John Dodson vs John Moraga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record19-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach66,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonJohn Moraga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Moraga54%
John Dodson 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes John Moraga a 54% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1700), separated by just 8 points.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, John Moraga 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.