Combat Edge Intelligence

John Dodson vs Manny Gamburyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Dodson
us

John Dodson

“The Magician”

24-14-0FlyweightRFF

1692Good

Tale of the tape

24-14-0Record15-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'5"
66,0"Reach67.00
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

John Dodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Manny Gamburyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John DodsonNow 1692
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1678
Manny GamburyanNow 1634
If they win+19→ 1653
If they lose-13→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
41%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
62%
Strike defense
56%
0.71
Takedown avg.
3.26
29%
Takedown accuracy
34%
82%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

John DodsonManny Gamburyan
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
2 (8%)
Submission
7 (47%)
11 (46%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

John Dodson74%
Manny Gamburyan 26%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes John Dodson a 74% favorite over Manny Gamburyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

John Dodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1634, a 58-point edge.

Manny Gamburyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Manny Gamburyan 60%.

John Dodson and Manny Gamburyan share 1 common opponent: Cody Gibson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
Cody Gibson
WinSubmission · 2014