John Dodson vs Merab Dvalishvili
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record21-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach 68"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
Merab Dvalishvili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — John Dodson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1709
If they lose-7→ 1685
If they win+7→ 1850
If they lose-17→ 1826
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1789 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonMerab Dvalishvili
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Merab Dvalishvili88%
John Dodson 12%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Merab Dvalishvili a 88% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Merab Dvalishvili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1843 to 1692, a 151-point edge.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Merab Dvalishvili 24%.
John Dodson and Merab Dvalishvili share 1 common opponent: Petr Yan.
Merab Dvalishvili carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.