John Dodson vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record19-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
66,0"Reach70,0"
126 lbsWeight136 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLast Stand Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-12→ 1681
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael McDonald70%
John Dodson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael McDonald a 70% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Dodson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1691), separated by just 2 points.
Michael McDonald enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Michael McDonald carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.