John Dodson vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach67"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
TJ Dillashaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — John Dodson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682
If they win+13→ 1776
If they lose-19→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Dillashaw62%
John Dodson 38%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Dillashaw a 62% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
TJ Dillashaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1692, a 71-point edge.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.