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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Dodson vs Yuya Wakamatsu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Dodson
us

John Dodson

“The Magician”

24-14-0FlyweightRFF

1692Good

Tale of the tape

24-14-0Record21-7-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1650 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John DodsonNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680
Yuya WakamatsuNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
41%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
0.71
Takedown avg.
Not available
29%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
82%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John DodsonYuya Wakamatsu
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
2 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (46%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Dodson and Yuya Wakamatsu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1692), separated by just 0 points.

John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Yuya Wakamatsu 71%.

Yuya Wakamatsu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.