John Dodson vs Zach Makovsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
66,0"Reach64,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
John Dodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Zach Makovsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-8→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonZach Makovsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Dodson78%
Zach Makovsky 22%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes John Dodson a 78% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
John Dodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1585, a 107-point edge.
Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.
John Dodson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.