John Doyle vs Leonardo Guimaraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-22-0Record15-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
Freelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamTata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Leonardo Guimaraes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — John Doyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1395
If they lose-11→ 1371
If they win+14→ 1437
If they lose-18→ 1405
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John DoyleLeonardo Guimaraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Guimaraes51%
John Doyle 49%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 51% favorite over John Doyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Leonardo Guimaraes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1423 to 1382, a 41-point edge.
John Doyle enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
John Doyle finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Guimaraes 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.