John Doyle vs Sam Fournier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-22-0Record2-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
200 lbsWeight205 lbs
Freelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Sam Fournier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — John Doyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1397
If they lose-9→ 1373
If they win+19→ 1479
If they lose-29→ 1431
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John DoyleSam Fournier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Fournier57%
John Doyle 43%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Fournier a 57% favorite over John Doyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Sam Fournier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1460 to 1382, a 78-point edge.
John Doyle enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Doyle finishes 70% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.