Combat Edge Intelligence

John Elam vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach-
183 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John ElamNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John ElamRômulo Oliveira
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Elam and Rômulo Oliveira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

John Elam enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.