Combat Edge Intelligence

John Franchi vs Marco Novák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record7-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamHanuman Gym Bratislava

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John FranchiNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553
Marco NovákNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.83
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
2.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John FranchiMarco Novák
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (33%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Marco Novák60%
John Franchi 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marco Novák a 60% favorite over John Franchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1577 vs 1579), separated by just 2 points.

John Franchi finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marco Novák 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.