Combat Edge Intelligence

John Garza vs Kenji Osawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Garza
us

John Garza

“Mowgli”

6-2-0BantamweightUFC

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record20-11-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight134 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GarzaNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Kenji OsawaNow 1598
If they win+12→ 1610
If they lose-12→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.75

Trajectory

John GarzaKenji Osawa
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (33%)
Decision
14 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

John Garza67%
Kenji Osawa 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 67% favorite over Kenji Osawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1598), separated by just 0 points.

John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kenji Osawa 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.