John Garza vs Nick Denis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
AzTex MMATeamRonin MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John GarzaNick Denis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza70%
Nick Denis 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 70% favorite over Nick Denis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1608), separated by just 4 points.
John Garza enters on a 5-fight win streak.
John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nick Denis 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.