Combat Edge Intelligence

John Garza vs Pavel Vitruk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Garza
us

John Garza

“Mowgli”

6-2-0BantamweightUFC

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record19-10-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
68"Reach-
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
AzTex MMATeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GarzaNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Pavel VitrukNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John GarzaPavel Vitruk
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (33%)
Decision
13 (68%)

Combat Edge model read

John Garza60%
Pavel Vitruk 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 60% favorite over Pavel Vitruk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pavel Vitruk's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Pavel Vitruk enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Pavel Vitruk 32%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.