Combat Edge Intelligence

John Garza vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Garza
us

John Garza

“Mowgli”

6-2-0BantamweightUFC

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach-
136 lbsWeight139 lbs
AzTex MMATeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1654 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GarzaNow 1598
If they win+24→ 1622
If they lose-24→ 1574
Roman PaulusNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John GarzaRoman Paulus
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (27%)
2 (33%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Garza and Roman Paulus within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1596), separated by just 2 points.

Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.

John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.