John Garza vs Tariq Ismail
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
AzTex MMATeamBazooka Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John GarzaTariq Ismail
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza73%
Tariq Ismail 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 73% favorite over Tariq Ismail in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tariq Ismail 13%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.