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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Gunderson vs Nemat Abdrashitov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

35-16-2Record20-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight157 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GundersonNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Nemat AbdrashitovNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.04
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
27%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
1.67
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
11%
Takedown defense
Not available
2
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John GundersonNemat Abdrashitov
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
28 (80%)
Submission
7 (35%)
3 (9%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

John Gunderson51%
Nemat Abdrashitov 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Gunderson a 51% favorite over Nemat Abdrashitov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nemat Abdrashitov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.

John Gunderson finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Nemat Abdrashitov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.