John Gunderson vs Yves Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-16-2Record42-22-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Gunderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-10→ 1609
If they win+10→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1672
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John GundersonYves Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yves Edwards54%
John Gunderson 46%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Yves Edwards a 54% favorite over John Gunderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1619, a 67-point edge.
Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
John Gunderson finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.