Combat Edge Intelligence

John Gunther vs Mandel Nallo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Gunther
us

John Gunther

“The Machine”

5-1-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid
Mandel Nallo
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Mandel Nallo

“Rat Garbage / Mango”

14-4-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
39,5"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GuntherNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Mandel NalloNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.65
Sig. strikes / min
8.61
38%
Strike accuracy
63%
3.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.58
46%
Strike defense
73%
7.08
Takedown avg.
0
42%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John GuntherMandel Nallo
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
1 (20%)
Submission
6 (43%)
3 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mandel Nallo60%
John Gunther 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mandel Nallo a 60% favorite over John Gunther in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Gunther's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.

John Gunther finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mandel Nallo 100%.

John Gunther and Mandel Nallo share 1 common opponent: Nick Browne.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

Win Decision · 2017
Nick Browne
LossTKO (Punches) · 2022