Combat Edge Intelligence

John Gunther vs Tomáš Mudroch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Gunther
us

John Gunther

“The Machine”

5-1-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'2"
39,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John GuntherNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Tomáš MudrochNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.65
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
7.08
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John GuntherTomáš Mudroch
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
1 (20%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (60%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Mudroch66%
John Gunther 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Mudroch a 66% favorite over John Gunther in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

John Gunther finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.