John Gunther vs Yanal Ashmouz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
39,5"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John GuntherYanal Ashmouz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yanal Ashmouz54%
John Gunther 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yanal Ashmouz a 54% favorite over John Gunther in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Gunther's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.
John Gunther finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.