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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Halverson vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Roger Huerta
us

Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1581Solid

Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record24-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

John Halverson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roger Huerta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John HalversonNow 1613
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-17→ 1596
Roger HuertaNow 1581
If they win+13→ 1594
If they lose-11→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
43%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
48%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
2.13
Not available
Takedown accuracy
46%
67%
Takedown defense
53%
1.96
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

John HalversonRoger Huerta
1600201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

10 (63%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
5 (31%)
Submission
5 (23%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Roger Huerta66%
John Halverson 34%Elo baseline: 45%

The Combat Edge model makes Roger Huerta a 66% favorite over John Halverson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Halverson's way (45%).

John Halverson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1581, a 32-point edge.

John Halverson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Halverson finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.