John Hathaway vs John Maguire
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record26-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
75,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamTsunami Gym
What's at stake
John Hathaway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — John Maguire carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-20→ 1619
If they win+15→ 1575
If they lose-9→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John HathawayJohn Maguire
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Hathaway67%
John Maguire 33%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 67% favorite over John Maguire in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
John Hathaway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1560, a 79-point edge.
John Maguire enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Hathaway finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, John Maguire 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.