Combat Edge Intelligence

John Hathaway vs Kris McCray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kris McCray
us

Kris McCray

“Savage”

9-5-0WelterweightSOFC

1570Solid

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamIron Army

What's at stake

John Hathaway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kris McCray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John HathawayNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-19→ 1620
Kris McCrayNow 1570
If they win+19→ 1589
If they lose-13→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
62%
Strike defense
55%
2.61
Takedown avg.
2.88
44%
Takedown accuracy
56%
61%
Takedown defense
38%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John HathawayKris McCray
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (56%)
9 (50%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

John Hathaway69%
Kris McCray 31%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 69% favorite over Kris McCray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

John Hathaway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1570, a 69-point edge.

John Hathaway finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kris McCray 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.