John Hathaway vs Mike Pyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75,5"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Hathaway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1625
If they win+11→ 1685
If they lose-13→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John HathawayMike Pyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Hathaway60%
Mike Pyle 40%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 60% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Pyle's way (45%).
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1639, a 35-point edge.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Hathaway finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.