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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Hathaway vs Muslim Tulshaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75,5"Reach78.7"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1608 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John HathawayNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Muslim TulshaevNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
2.61
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
61%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.87
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John HathawayMuslim Tulshaev
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (36%)
9 (50%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Tulshaev52%
John Hathaway 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Tulshaev a 52% favorite over John Hathaway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.

John Hathaway finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Tulshaev 79%.

Muslim Tulshaev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.