Combat Edge Intelligence

John Hathaway vs Pascal Krauss

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamPeak MMA

What's at stake

John Hathaway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Pascal Krauss carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John HathawayNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-19→ 1620
Pascal KraussNow 1579
If they win+28→ 1607
If they lose-20→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
5.45
40%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
62%
Strike defense
59%
2.61
Takedown avg.
1.53
44%
Takedown accuracy
50%
61%
Takedown defense
60%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.92

Trajectory

John HathawayPascal Krauss
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
3 (17%)
Submission
7 (64%)
9 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

John Hathaway63%
Pascal Krauss 37%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 63% favorite over Pascal Krauss in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

John Hathaway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1579, a 60-point edge.

John Hathaway finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Pascal Krauss 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.