Combat Edge Intelligence

John Hathaway vs Tom Egan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tom Egan
ie

Tom Egan

“The Tank”

7-5-0MiddleweightCES

1554Solid

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record7-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75,5"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight181 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamSBG MMA

What's at stake

John Hathaway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Tom Egan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John HathawayNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-20→ 1619
Tom EganNow 1554
If they win+20→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
0
40%
Strike accuracy
0%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.91
62%
Strike defense
50%
2.61
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
61%
Takedown defense
29%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John HathawayTom Egan
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
3 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

John Hathaway66%
Tom Egan 34%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 66% favorite over Tom Egan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

John Hathaway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1554, a 85-point edge.

Tom Egan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Hathaway finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tom Egan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.