Combat Edge Intelligence

John Hosman vs Ryo Hirayama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record4-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamX-Treme Ebina

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John HosmanNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Ryo HirayamaNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.11
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John HosmanRyo Hirayama
1550160020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
9 (50%)
Submission
2 (50%)
2 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Hirayama70%
John Hosman 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 70% favorite over John Hosman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1570), separated by just 6 points.

John Hosman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Hosman finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Hirayama 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.