Combat Edge Intelligence

John Hosman vs Tomáš Deák

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'4"
TBDReach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Midwest Training CenterTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John HosmanNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Tomáš DeákNow 1565
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.11
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John HosmanTomáš Deák
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
9 (50%)
Submission
11 (44%)
2 (11%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Deák84%
John Hosman 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 84% favorite over John Hosman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.

John Hosman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Hosman finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.