John Howard vs Ryan LaFlare
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-19-1Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'1"
40,0"Reach42,5"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Wai Kru MMATeamLong Island MMA
What's at stake
Ryan LaFlare is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-8→ 1599
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-21→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John HowardRyan LaFlare
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan LaFlare79%
John Howard 21%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan LaFlare a 79% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Ryan LaFlare holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1607, a 114-point edge.
John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Howard finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Ryan LaFlare 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.