
John Howard vs Siyar Bahadurzada
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Siyar Bahadurzada is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Siyar Bahadurzada a 78% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Siyar Bahadurzada holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1607, a 86-point edge.
John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Howard finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.