Combat Edge Intelligence

John Howard vs Siyar Bahadurzada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Howard
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John Howard

“Doomsday”

29-19-1WelterweightXMMA

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

29-19-1Record24-8-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'11"
40,0"Reach72,5"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Wai Kru MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Siyar Bahadurzada is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John HowardNow 1607
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-9→ 1598
Siyar BahadurzadaNow 1693
If they win+9→ 1702
If they lose-15→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
51%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
51%
Strike defense
49%
2.70
Takedown avg.
1.32
49%
Takedown accuracy
62%
54%
Takedown defense
63%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

John HowardSiyar Bahadurzada
16001650170020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
7 (24%)
Submission
6 (25%)
12 (41%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Siyar Bahadurzada78%
John Howard 22%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Siyar Bahadurzada a 78% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Siyar Bahadurzada holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1607, a 86-point edge.

John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Howard finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.