Combat Edge Intelligence

John Howard vs Tamdan McCrory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Howard
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John Howard

“Doomsday”

29-19-1WelterweightXMMA

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

29-19-1Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height6'4"
40,0"Reach78,0"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Wai Kru MMATeamCNY MMA

What's at stake

Tamdan McCrory is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John HowardNow 1608
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-11→ 1597
Tamdan McCroryNow 1642
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-18→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
51%
Strike defense
47%
2.70
Takedown avg.
2.28
49%
Takedown accuracy
50%
54%
Takedown defense
33%
0.44
Submission avg.
2.47

Trajectory

John HowardTamdan McCrory
16001650170020152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (34%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
7 (24%)
Submission
5 (36%)
12 (41%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamdan McCrory56%
John Howard 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamdan McCrory a 56% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Tamdan McCrory holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1608, a 34-point edge.

John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tamdan McCrory enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Howard finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Tamdan McCrory 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.