John Howard vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-19-1Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'2"
40,0"Reach75"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Wai Kru MMATeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Tim Means is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1620
If they lose-11→ 1596
If they win+11→ 1657
If they lose-13→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John HowardTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Means57%
John Howard 43%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Means a 57% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Tim Means holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1607, a 39-point edge.
John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Howard finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.