John Kolosci vs Michael Dubois
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record15-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gilbert Grappling· 1558 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamStrike Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
If they win+12→ 1531
If they lose-12→ 1507
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John KolosciMichael Dubois
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Dubois65%
John Kolosci 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Dubois a 65% favorite over John Kolosci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1519), separated by just 2 points.
Michael Dubois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Kolosci finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Michael Dubois 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.