Combat Edge Intelligence

John Kolosci vs Will Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Will Davis
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Will Davis

“The Famous”

3-2-0WelterweightLFA

1523Average

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Gilbert GrapplingTeamDerby City MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John KolosciNow 1517
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Will DavisNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
20%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

John KolosciWill Davis
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
4 (27%)
Submission
1 (33%)
7 (47%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Will Davis62%
John Kolosci 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Will Davis a 62% favorite over John Kolosci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1523), separated by just 6 points.

John Kolosci finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Will Davis 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.