Combat Edge Intelligence

John Kolosci vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gilbert GrapplingTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John KolosciNow 1517
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.21
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
20%
Strike accuracy
50%
0.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
50%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John KolosciYusaku Kinoshita
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (27%)
Submission
2 (33%)
7 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita63%
John Kolosci 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 63% favorite over John Kolosci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1523), separated by just 6 points.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Kolosci finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.