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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lewis vs Ricardo Garza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-4-3Record3-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'4"
TBDReach-
160 lbsWeight165 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John LewisNow 1463
If they win+25→ 1488
If they lose-23→ 1440
Ricardo GarzaNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
0%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
67%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ricardo Garza57%
John Lewis 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Garza a 57% favorite over John Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1463 vs 1471), separated by just 8 points.

John Lewis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

John Lewis finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Garza 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.